by prodromos » 20 Jan 2015, 09:21
It depends...
Are you talking about ladder or global ranking?
I am under the impression that the opposite is true. You will usually have an "overrated" player,
when one is still new and has not had enough time to fall to one's actual rating. But this is easily
understood by almost anyone in FAF. You do not expect a 1500 player that has played only 50 games
to be 1500, do you?
Besides, if you inspect the leaderboards, you will see that players that stand in the middle of the food chain(position ~ 6000 out of 12000) are rated 80. And I am quite sure, if there were the old chart with global ratings, people in the middle would not be over 800.
Now, when 1500 is officially considered average, and only 150 people in ladder are 1500 or more, I think it would be too much
to talk about overrated players.
And.... there's one little distortion as of late; the fact that ladder does not affect global rating.
This could actually increase one's ratings artificially if the same map is played ad infinitum. Correcting
people's rating imo would not solve the problem. Correcting maybe the rating parameters; this would probably do.
As a whole this is an insignificant matter. It's important though people to understand how rating works, so as to not cause
dramas and kick players needlessly. It's all about statistical power. I have seen people get over excited because their rating fell
or rose by 100 points, but they do not understand that this happens only in the beginning when the statistical probability about one's rating is still very weak.