Tanksy wrote:Just reading that wiki article confused me, But I think I get the general idea of the system.
As I understand it: it is just assuming your skill level and assuming the outcome before it happens; based on a deviation shown in your performance accross several games.. ?
So basically you can start off as a great player, or a really bad player, but either way you'll reach a point where the system thinks it has you sussed; guesses your performance will be "between this and that" and says that due to statistical unlikelyness, you'll not be awarded/punished with a higher/lower rating. All in all, eventually you'll reach a point where the system has capped your skill level based on the "Deviation" calculated, and you can only go downhill from there.
Correct me if I'm reading it wrongly.
Well, if you start consuming crack and change your nationality to be korean, your skill level can improve above that point, but yes, you get the idea.